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The second half of the MLB season kicks off with an action-packed slate, and our expert has a best bet for Friday night’s matchup in Philly, Plus, FanDuel Sportsbook is making the day’s action even better by giving new customers a chance to cash in with their fantastic welcome offer.
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How to use the FanDuel welcome offer on Friday
The Philadelphia Phillies are currently trailing by just half a game for the final Wild Card spot in the National League, while the San Diego Padres are struggling, sitting six games back from the Wild Card spot and 8.5 games back in the NL West. If the Padres don’t turn their fortunes around soon, they could become sellers at this year’s trade deadline.
In this matchup, the Phillies will rely on Cristopher Sánchez, who has been performing well recently. He has started five games for the Phillies this season and has yet to allow more than three earned runs in a game.
On the other side, the Padres will send Yu Darvish to the mound, who has had a somewhat challenging year but has shown promising underlying metrics.
Despite Darvish’s 4.87 ERA, his 3.68 xERA indicates potential positive regression. His Hard-Hit Rate ranks in the 53rd percentile, and his Average Exit Velocity ranks in the 45th percentile. Additionally, his strikeout and walk rates are above average, as is his Barrel Rate.
However, the Padres have struggled against left-handed pitchers since July 1, with a high 30.6% strikeout rate, a low .590 OPS, and a 67 wRC+ in that timeframe. On the other hand, the Padres have five qualifying hitters with an xwOBA over .300 against left-handed pitchers in the past month, highlighting their ability to perform well against southpaws.
The Phillies, on the other hand, have been excelling against right-handed pitchers this month, boasting a 115 wRC+ with a 19.5% strikeout rate and an .800 OPS. They have seven hitters with an xwOBA over .320 in the past month.
Considering these factors, it’s likely that the Phillies will gain a slight advantage in this game and rely on their strong bullpen to secure the win. Betting on the Phillies up to -125 seems like a reasonable choice.
The pick: Phillies ML -125
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