Red Sox, Mariners two underdog expert picks

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20220408ray

Major League Baseball has a full 15-game schedule for bettors to choose from today. For expert bettors, though, they’re targeting a few specific matchups.

All the information about to be presented is drawn from the Action Network PRO Report, which provides betting percentages and five “signals” — sharp money, big money, PRO systems, model edge and expert picks — that help distinguish certain plays.

Today’s report sees two sides — both underdogs — and one total trigger at least three of the above signals. Without any further hesitation, here are the report’s recommendations.

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Game #1 – Milwaukee Brewers at Boston Red Sox, 7:10 p.m. ET

The Brewers and Red Sox begin a three-game series today in Beantown and experts are getting behind the underdog Red Sox.

Although sharp action is heading in the direction of Milwaukee, three of the four remaining signals trigger for the Red Sox. First, big money support is coming in for Boston — as of this writing, they have received 20 percent of all bets against 47 percent of the total handle.

Further, one Action Network PRO system triggers the Red Sox — Average AL teams vs. NL. That system, which looks for home AL underdogs with a winning percentage between 47 and 54 percent, has a 63 percent historical win rate and 10 percent return on investment.

Finally, one top MLB betting expert from The Action Network is backing Boston to round out the three signals in their direction.

Red Sox vs. Brewers PRO Report Pick

Boston Red Sox Moneyline (+143) — Caesars Sportsbook

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Robbie Ray
AP

Game #2 – Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros, 8:10 p.m. ET

The Astros claimed the first game of the series to extend their lead in the division, but experts are backing the Mariners tonight.

Once again, it’s worth noting that sharp action has come in on the Astros, but the big money advantage sizably belongs to the Mariners. As of this writing, Seattle has received only 18 percent of all moneyline bets, but 72 percent of the total handle.

Further, another Action Network PRO system — Contrarian Betting Against Good Teams — identifies the Mariners. That system, which seeks teams on a minor losing streak receiving less than 35 percent of all bets, has a 41 percent historical win percentage and 10 percent return on investment.

Lastly, one top MLB betting expert from The Action Network is backing the Mariners, giving them three total signals in their direction.

Astros vs. Mariners PRO Report Pick

Seattle Mariners Moneyline (+154) — Fanduel Sportsbook

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Game #3 – Texas Rangers at Los Angeles Angels, 9:38 p.m. ET

Last night’s contest was a drab, 2-0 win for Texas. Tonight, however, experts are expecting runs.

Although big money support has come in on the under — 49 percent of all bets against 76 percent of the total handle — we’ve tracked sharp action coming in on the over, which opened at seven runs but now sits at 7.5.

Furthermore, there’s a model projection edge with the over. According to Action Network MLB power ratings, the total is projected at 8.22, giving over bettors almost 0.75 runs of value.

Lastly, one top Action Network MLB expert is backing the over to round out the three signals going in its direction.

Angels vs. Rangers PRO Report Pick

Total Over 7.5 Runs (-105) — Fanduel Sportsbook

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