UK health secretary Sajid Javid has failed to rule out tighter Covid-19 restrictions in England before Christmas to stem the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant, warning that there were “no guarantees” while dealing with a pandemic.
Government science advisers have told ministers that further measures may need to be implemented swiftly in England in order to avert a wave of hospitalisations similar in scale to last winter.
Questioned on The Andrew Marr Show on the BBC if he could rule out tighter restrictions, Javid said: “We are assessing the situation, it’s very fast-moving. We’ve seen with Omicron there’s a lot that we still don’t know.
“That’s the truth of the matter. The reality is there’s a lot of uncertainty,” adding that it was “time to be more cautious”.
Ministers are understood to be considering the introduction of social mixing restrictions. However, no decision has yet been taken. The government and devolved leaders will discuss the latest data in a Cobra meeting on Sunday afternoon.
Pushed on his refusal to rule out a short national lockdown, a so-called “circuit-breaker”, or new restrictions before Christmas, Javid replied: “There are no guarantees in this pandemic, I don’t think. At this point we just have to keep everything under review.
The government’s Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (Sage) has warned that England could face “at least 3,000 hospital admissions per day” early next year if ministers stick to prime minister Boris Johnson’s plan B strategy.
If no further measures were implemented, daily deaths could number at least 600 by February, the advisers added.
There were 82,886 daily Covid cases reported across the UK on Sunday, following a week of record high caseloads. Of those, 12,133 are reported to be Omicron cases. The true figure is expected to be much higher. Meanwhile, a record 986,689 vaccine doses were administered on Saturday in the UK, of which 904,598 were booster shots.
Johnson has promised to offer every eligible adult in England a booster shot by the end of the year, which would require about 1m boosters to be given each day.
Sage said restrictions on indoor social contact and indoor hospitality were likely to be needed before the new year to prevent a peak of daily hospital admissions similar to January when nearly 4,000 Covid patients were hospitalised in a single day.
Control measures, including “reducing group sizes, increasing physical distancing, reducing duration of contacts and closing high-risk premises” could be needed on top of face masks, ventilation and capacity limits, the committee said.
“It’s a very sobering analysis. We take it very seriously,” Javid told the BBC on Sunday. Johnson has promised to recall parliament if he does propose new measures.
Tory MPs fear that the government is already presiding over a “lockdown by stealth”. Rishi Sunak, the UK chancellor, is facing increasing pressure to provide a package of aid for sectors such as hospitality, retail and travel.
Sadiq Khan, London’s mayor, has declared a “major incident” in the city after 26,000 new cases were reported on Friday, which he said were causing staff absences in the capital’s emergency services.
Speaking to the Marr show, he said it was “inevitable” that new restrictions would have to be introduced. “The direction of travel is only going one way: cases doubling over two days,” he said.
“I think if we don’t bring in new restrictions sooner rather than later, you’re going to see even more positive cases and potentially public services like the NHS on the verge of collapse, if not collapsing.”
Meanwhile, Michelle O’Neill, Northern Ireland’s deputy first minister, warned on Friday that booster shots would not be sufficient to protect the region. “We will need a significant intervention alongside that,” she told BBC television Northern Ireland, outlining that the region of 1.8m people could see 30,000 infections a day in a worst-case scenario.
“The nature of that intervention, the timing of that intervention and the length of that intervention has yet to be decided upon. But these are the decisions that we are going to have to work our way through over the coming days ,” O’Neill said. “We’re in a very concerning situation.”
“All options” were on the table, she said.
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